A Door with No Exit

Yang, Odell and Kostner Articles

Like getting entangled in a revolving door that recoils and convolutes, the UK is caught between wanting to get out but is always being pushed back in. Stepping out should never have been so difficult or complicated, but with Brexit – Britain’s departure from the European Union has been met with dilly-dallying politicians who remain as unsure, skeptical and uncertain, that procrastination seems to be the order of the day.

If one wants to truly leave, just leave. But Brexit has been compromised by so many circumstances that get more tortuous and entangled that could possibly necessitate more time to stay and deliberate a soft departure.

One of the complications is the upcoming European Elections that are due to take place on the 23rd to 26th of May 2019. The position of the European Commission is that if the UK is still part of the EU by the 22nd of May – it is obliged to participate in the election.

Yet, in a move that seems to contradict itself – the EU has already approved legislation that reallocates 27 of the UK’s current 73 seats in the European Parliament to the other member countries. It is a move that signifies that the EU is ready for a future without the UK. Thanks to the UK’s planned exit, some member countries are getting more seats to fill in the UK’s absence, such as France and Spain (5 more seats each). So really, the UK swerving in the EU may not bode well for the other member participants who see Britain’s presence as something of an obstruction that will diminish their own influence and representation in the European Parliament. Not that the ‘so-called’ Parliament means much. It is only a talking shop, a discussion chamber more like, and has no power of action.

The UK, as of this publication would seem to be in a real bind. All options seemingly exhausted; the UK leaves for the EU to push for Article 50 to be over and done with. If Article 50 is extended for whatever reasons – this will just create a major headache for the European hierarchy. Once again…

For now, it is entirely unclear when, if or how Brexit will happen. The House of Commons has once again met to vote a way forward for Brexit – with MP’s likely to endorse a much softer form of exit than what Theresa May wants. This is the kind of tug of war inside British politics that is delaying the departure and making Brexit a laughing stock for the rest of the world.

At this point, Theresa may need to up her game and move the UK forward. Surely, she can’t please everybody - but she has to put into action what has already been decided by Britain – exit the European Union and if the consequences of that action are a ‘hard Brexit’ that some pundits opine will be bad for the British economy and people – she must take that bitter pill now. This is her last chance to build a consensus for Britain that will allow the British people to move on from Brexit so it can attend to the various issues that need so desperately sorting out.

In the meantime, the USA, adding fuel to the fire has amplified its desire for the UK to leave and that the UK will, on leaving the EU, be its number one trading partner! So much for non-interference in the affairs of other nations.

Theresa May is facing a wall and one that is cemented by political maneuverings and economic circumstances. She has to both crash through that wall and push Britain forward. And as the days pass and she buys more time - that wall becomes more impenetrable.

There is only one mandate for Therese May: no matter what it takes – to get it over and done with.